Bitcoin Set to ‘Accelerate’ During Fourth Turning Crisis Era
Bitcoin is set to benefit from the seismic changes reshaping the global order in the coming decades, according to market analyst Jordi Visser. Bitcoin is poised to grow in price and adoption regardless of the macroeconomic scenarios that will unfold in the coming years and decades, as the global financial system heads for a Fourth Turning-style reset, positioning the cryptocurrency as a critical hedge against traditional financial instability.
The Fourth Turning Theory Explained
The Fourth Turning theory, introduced in their seminal 1997 book, “The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy,” posits that history unfolds in cycles of approximately 80-100 years, each divided into four distinct “turnings” that last about 20-25 years. These generational cycles culminate in a “Crisis” or Fourth Turning period characterized by:
- Institutional breakdown and reconstruction
- Economic upheaval and monetary system changes
- Political realignment and social transformation
- Emergence of new financial paradigms
Historical Fourth Turnings include the American Revolution (1773-1794), Civil War era (1860-1865), and Great Depression/World War II period (1929-1946). Current indicators suggest we entered the latest Fourth Turning around 2008-2010, coinciding precisely with Bitcoin’s creation during the Global Financial Crisis.
Bitcoin as Digital Gold During Economic Reset
Institutional Adoption Accelerating
A record 14.3 million BTC become “illiquid,” with long-term holders, Bitcoin treasury companies and whales still accumulating, demonstrating institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition. This represents approximately 68% of Bitcoin’s total supply becoming increasingly scarce in active markets.
Key institutional developments include:
- Corporate Treasury Adoption: Major corporations continue adding Bitcoin to balance sheets
- Government Reserves: Multiple nations exploring Bitcoin strategic reserves
- ETF Inflows: Institutional investment vehicles driving unprecedented capital allocation
- Banking Integration: Traditional financial institutions offering Bitcoin services
Price Trajectory Analysis
Bitcoin is still widely considered on track to reach $200,000 by Q4 2025, as outlined by the power law model gaining the most traction among market observers. Current conditions suggest Bitcoin is in the mid-bull or “sweet spot” phase. Market analysts identify several price drivers:
- Supply Scarcity: Bitcoin’s fourth halving led to a choppy market, until recently, with reduced issuance creating supply-demand imbalances
- Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Fiat currency debasement accelerating Bitcoin adoption
- Technological Maturity: Infrastructure improvements enabling broader accessibility
- Regulatory Clarity: Clearer frameworks reducing institutional hesitation
Historical Parallels and Crypto Market Cycles
Fourth Turning Investment Themes
Many in crypto community believe Bitcoin is the perfect money during a Fourth Turning, a cyclical view of history that prophesied two decades of tough times for the US beginning in 2005. This perspective aligns with Bitcoin’s fundamental properties:
- Decentralization: Resistance to centralized control during institutional breakdown
- Fixed Supply: Protection against monetary debasement
- Global Accessibility: Borderless nature during geopolitical instability
- Digital Native: Alignment with technological transformation
Beyond Traditional 4-Year Cycles
The cycle high could arrive between October and November 2025. However, the exact price target remains uncertain, depending on whether the cycle will be more similar to the 2015-2018 or 2018-2022 ones. Emerging patterns suggest:
- Extended Cycles: Institutional participation lengthening market phases
- Reduced Volatility: Larger market cap dampening extreme price swings
- Structural Changes: BTC may reach the peak of this bull market in the fourth quarter of 2025. Before that, there will be two significant mid-term bullish trends
Global Financial System Transformation
Monetary System Evolution
The convergence of Fourth Turning dynamics with Bitcoin’s maturation creates unprecedented conditions:
Traditional Finance Vulnerabilities:
- Unsustainable debt levels across developed economies
- Central bank policy effectiveness diminishing
- Currency debasement accelerating globally
- Financial system fragility increasing
Bitcoin Advantages:
- Predictable monetary policy immune to political pressure
- Censorship-resistant value transfer capabilities
- Store of value properties during inflationary periods
- Network effects strengthening with adoption
Geopolitical Implications
As nations navigate Fourth Turning challenges, Bitcoin emerges as:
- Neutral Reserve Asset: Alternative to politically-influenced currencies
- Settlement Layer: Cross-border payments without correspondent banking
- Financial Sovereignty: Individual and national monetary independence
- Innovation Catalyst: Blockchain technology driving economic modernization
Key Takeaways
- Bitcoin positioned as primary beneficiary of Fourth Turning economic reset, with institutional adoption accelerating during traditional financial system instability
- Price targets of $200,000 by Q4 2025 supported by supply scarcity, institutional demand, and macroeconomic conditions favoring alternative assets
- Record 14.3 million BTC becoming illiquid demonstrates long-term holder confidence and reduces available supply for active trading
- Historical Fourth Turning cycles lasting 80-100 years suggest current crisis period began around 2008-2010, coinciding with Bitcoin’s emergence during Global Financial Crisis
- Extended market cycles replacing traditional 4-year patterns due to institutional participation and structural market changes
- Decentralized monetary properties make Bitcoin ideal for navigating institutional breakdown, currency debasement, and geopolitical instability characteristic of Fourth Turning periods
Also read, Bitcoin Price (BTC) Surges Then Slips Week’s Gains Slip Away.
Frequently Asked Questions
The Fourth Turning theory describes 80-100 year historical cycles ending in crisis periods that reshape institutions. Bitcoin emerged during our current Fourth Turning (starting ~2008) and offers decentralized alternatives to failing traditional financial systems.
Bitcoin’s fixed supply, decentralized nature, and censorship resistance make it attractive during currency debasement and institutional breakdown. Historical patterns show alternative assets outperforming during crisis periods.
Multiple analytical models including power law and supply-demand dynamics support these targets, though exact timing remains uncertain. Current institutional adoption and supply scarcity trends align with bullish projections.
Institutional participation is extending market cycles, reducing volatility, and creating more sustained price appreciation phases. Traditional retail-driven boom-bust cycles are evolving into longer-term structural shifts.
While Bitcoin offers unique properties for crisis periods, it remains volatile and relatively new. Analysts suggest it functions more as a hedge against monetary debasement than traditional safe haven assets like gold.
Christine Morgan is a senior staff writer and journalist at ReadBitz.com, where she brings clarity and context to the most pressing global events. As a leading voice on the daily news desk, she is dedicated to demystifying the complex web of international affairs, politics, and economics for a diverse global readership.